NY Times Jane Brody misses the mark



NY Times' health columnist, Jane Brody, recently wrote a bit of fluff for her paper:

"CT Scans of the Heart Come With Trade-Offs


In her report, she says:

Coronary CT scans are being sold directly to the public, and they have found a market in health-conscious people who can afford them. But screening exams can have downsides. They can cause needless worry, and they sometimes reveal other potential conditions that require invasive procedures like biopsies to diagnose.

I soon learned that among the strongest proponents of CT scans of coronary arteries were physicians with financial ties to drug companies that make statins and others connected to imaging centers that would profit directly from widespread CT screenings.



She then goes on to discuss how the Framingham scoring calculation can tell you whether or not you are at low-, intermediate-, or high-risk for heart disease. She therefore concludes that heart scans are therefore irrelevant for the majority of people. She then proceeds to take a statin agent.

This sort of nonsense continues to get published, despite the clear lack of real "digging" for the truth. She clearly fell for the conventional arguments that continue to mis-guide the majority of people, myths like:

--the Framingham scoring system is reliable--Reliable it is NOT; it is susceptible to substantial "misclassification" bias, meaning people who appear low risk can actually be high risk, and people at high risk can actually be low risk. Among the latest studies that question the scoring system is Family history of premature coronary heart disease and coronary artery calcification: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). This study pointed out how the Framingham scoring system, which leaves out family history, can cause people classified as low risk to actually have substantial heart scan scores. This is crucial. A heart scan gets beyond the uncertainties and shows with >95% certainty whether or not hidden coronary atherosclerotic plaque is present.

--"Coronary risk" is a dynammic phenomenon, subject to changes in a person's life. What if, for instance, a person smoked for 20 years, quit 10 years ago, lost 30 lbs, dropped their blood pressure as a result of the weight loss, then relied on the Framingham Risk Calculator to determine risk. They would likely be classified as low- risk, since risk factors now appear favorable. This person could easily have a heart scan score of 500, or 700, or 1000, levels that carry a cardiovascular event risk of 5-25% per year, hardly low-risk, because much of their risk accumulated earlier in life and is no longer revealed by an assessment of risk factors.

--There are sources of risk that have nothing to do with Framingham, such as lipoprotein(a), which is often revealed by family history; the presence of small LDL, which co-varies with HDL and triglycerides, but can behave independently also; and, my favorite, deficiency of vitamin D. This would explain part of the 60-70% of people who are typically mis-classified by Framingham.


Where did Ms. Brody get the idea that proponents of heart scans had ties to drug companies? I think she's barking up the wrong tree on that one. Of course, she ends up on a statin drug. For my part, I am a critic of statin drugs. Yes, they play a role, but they are miserably misused and abused by practicing physicians, based on the endless onslaught of drug company-sponsored trials that have served to distort their usefulness.

If I were Ms. Brody, I would be quaking in my shoes, not knowing what my true risk for heart disease was, relying on the--at best--30% reduction in heart attack risk of Lipitor or other statin drug. Ms. Brody: You are not cured, you're simply wearing a superficial Band-Aid. If you want to know your true risk for heart attack, and you want a precise value that you can track over time, the answer is simple: Reject the conventional notion and get a heart scan.

Comments (6) -

  • russb324

    10/9/2007 1:02:00 PM |

    However, John Tierney wrote an interesting column in the same issue of the NY Times in which he expressed skepticism about the AMA's recommendation of low fat diets based on what socialists called a "cascade" effect thus causing a mistaken consensus.  He also favorably cited to Gary Taubes book "Good Calories, Bad Calories" while acknowledging that Mr. Taubes' hypothesis regarding low carb, higher fat diets are only theories as there have not been rigorous scientific studies to prove or debunk these theories.  Article is definitely worth a read:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/09/science/09tier.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

  • Anonymous

    10/9/2007 7:33:00 PM |

    I've just found your website and I'm extremely interested.  My doctor said my LDL was 565.  I'm starting a study at the cooper institute next month.  But in the meantime I don't want to die of heart disease like my doctor said I would if I don't change my diet.  What diet should I follow?  Is there a site that you recommend with a diet on it that doesn't ask for payment?

  • Dr. Davis

    10/9/2007 8:04:00 PM |

    I'm afraid with hetero- or homozygous hypercholesterolemia (to account for such high LDL's), this information needs to come from your doctor.

    Also, if you are entering a clinical trial at the Coooper Clinic (an excellent facility), they may ask you to follow a specific diet program.

  • Anonymous

    10/9/2007 9:17:00 PM |

    from dan.
    The Framingham scoring system shows
    potential 'risk' (maybe), whereas the CT scan shows the "actual" condition of the heart. I think there is a huge difference between showing a risk and what is real. If you have a gun in your hand you are potentially a murder, that is a long way from murdering someone. One is a possiblity, whereas the CT scan shows was exist - right now.

  • Dr. Davis

    10/9/2007 9:37:00 PM |

    Thanks, Dan.

    I couldn't have said it better myself.

  • Anonymous

    10/20/2007 11:48:00 PM |

    Hello Dr. Davis, and anonymous

    Have you seen the article by Drs James Wright and John Abramson  published in a recent Lancet? Perhaps Dr. Davis will post a summary.





    Anon2

Loading
Can vitamin D be a SOLE risk factor?

Can vitamin D be a SOLE risk factor?

Here's a crazy question. It occurred to me as I was talking to Drew, a slender, active 54-year old dentist with no bad habits including no smoking.

Drew's heart scan score was 222. His lipoprotein analysis mostly revealed a lot of nothing, which is unusual. The only pattern that showed up was a modestly high LDL of 122 mg/dl with a very slight excess of small LDL. That's it. I would not be satisfied that these were sufficient cause for Drew's level of coronary plaque.

Drew's 25-OH-vitamin D3 level: 15 ng/ml--severe deficiency--despite the fact that his doctor had suggested that he take a vitamin D2 preparation. In other words, Drew had been profoundly deficient, probably for years.

Given the unimpressive cholesterol and lipoprotein values, could vitamin D serve as a trigger for coronary plaque all by itself?

I don't have an answer and know of nobody else who does. However, my opinion is that vitamin D is indeed a potent risk that can cause heart disease as a sole risk factor.

Perhaps it's another piece of circumstantial evidence suggesting that vitamin D has an enormous influence on health, including coronary plaque. Interestingly, the only other health problem Drew has had is prostate cancer, treated a few years ago with prostate removal and radiation. Good evidence suggests that vitamin D deficiency escalates risk of prostate cancer substantially.

By the way, I've seen people taking vitamin D2 preparations, called "ergocalciferol," who are every bit as deficient as those who take no vitamin D at all. Avoid D2 or ergocalciferol preparations: they're worthless.

Comments (6) -

  • Regina W

    1/17/2007 10:20:00 PM |

    I'm probably way off here, but vitamin D derivatives are mainstays of topical therapy for chronic plaque psoriasis; I have to wonder if coronary plaque can form if vitamin D is deficient since vitamin D is involved with insulin regulation and insulin and hyperglycemia is also implicated in heart disease; often those with diabetes are found deficient in vitamin D, and they're a population most at risk for heart disease?  Makes you wonder, doesn't it?

  • Dr. Davis

    1/18/2007 1:08:00 AM |

    You're absolutely right. There is solid evidence that vitamin D deficiency increases diabetic patterns, including higher blood sugar and insulin levels. Whether this is part of the reason why vitamin D might exert benefits on coronary plaque remains uncertain. I suspect that there are many reasons, this being a major one.

  • Anonymous

    1/21/2007 1:46:00 PM |

    You may be interested in the following papers.
    The case against ergocalciferol (vitamin D2) as a vitamin supplement.
    http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/content/abstract/84/4/694
    Risk assessment for vitamin D
    http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/content/abstract/85/1/6
    http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/content/full/77/1/204
    Human serum 25-hydroxycholecalciferol response to extended oral dosing with cholecalciferol

  • Rich

    11/12/2007 9:17:00 PM |

    Dr. Prendergast has posted today an astonishing story of benefit from D3. The patient was switched to D2 in an effort to move to generic alternatives and he went rapidly downhill toward death. The mistake was discovered, the patient was switched back to D3 and he immediately recovered.
    Here's the link to the short video:
    http://enews.endocrinemetabolic.com/2007/11/generic-wars.html

  • Dr. Davis

    11/12/2007 11:44:00 PM |

    Thanks for the heads-up, Rich. It is truly an astonishing story.

  • Neelesh

    12/5/2007 5:11:00 PM |

    Dr Davis!
       Sometime back I had posted a comment on your entry about wheat. And you had suggested that my Vitamin D3 levels might be low. Your diagnosis from 3000 miles away proved right! I had a 25-OH-D3 test and the value was less than 4ng/ml. I consulted my cardiologist and he brushed away the fact and asked me to drink more milk! I'm planning to switch doctors now.
       My copy of TYP reached me and I'm through cover to cover. The level of  details in the book is amazing and I've started correcting my lifestyle, food habits and medicines(of course, after discussing with the doctor).
       Many doctors here prefer a CT angiogram to a heart scan. My doctor was unable to give a good reason for why I should not have a heart scan but a CT angiogram. ("You are too young to have a heart scan"). So the situation here in India is no better.
      Many thanks!
    -Neelesh

Loading